Discussion about this post

User's avatar
Michael Magoon's avatar

Excellent essay.

I would add that even experts are often not really know how to achieve goals unless it has been done before. Experts are really good at identifying problems and suggesting possible means to solve novel problems, but it is only through actually implementing those proposed solutions that we can identify what actually works in practice. That is why small-scale controlled experimentation is so important. Test “good ideas” out in the world before scaling them up.

https://frompovertytoprogress.substack.com/p/the-case-for-randomized-trials-in

Expand full comment
Doug Bates's avatar

I don't think it is correct to define expertise as a special skill in knowing how to achieve a goal. For example, there are experts in astrology; however, they are unable to achieve the goals they claim to have expertise in.

Similarly, experts may have knowledge of various theories. They may be experts at those theories. But whether those theories actually work is another matter.

Part of our problem is that the experts have expertise in things that do not achieve their stated goals.

Expand full comment
9 more comments...

No posts