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Michael Magoon's avatar

Excellent essay.

I would add that even experts are often not really know how to achieve goals unless it has been done before. Experts are really good at identifying problems and suggesting possible means to solve novel problems, but it is only through actually implementing those proposed solutions that we can identify what actually works in practice. That is why small-scale controlled experimentation is so important. Test “good ideas” out in the world before scaling them up.

https://frompovertytoprogress.substack.com/p/the-case-for-randomized-trials-in

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Lee Nellis's avatar

I grow weary of neat binary formulations. Having realistic goals necessarily entails knowing how, at least something about how, those goals can be attained (or not) and at what cost. When the application of expertise is done well, it is a give and take conversation between the client/s and the expert, not a pronouncement and response as this suggests. And the real measure of expertise is understanding this dynamic.

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